Wednesday, August 03, 2005

Political Outlook in 2006

County Executive Race

Chris Merdon is building a strong campaign presence for the County Executive race. The campaign has been sign waiving (despite a thinly veiled attempt by the Democrats on the County Council to stop sign waiving through a road side vendor ban they put in place) , placing yard signs, and bumper stickers are popping up.

Steven Adler, the 2002 Republican candidate, has recently been quoted in the Baltimore Sun and he sounds bitter.

The Democrats do not have a candidate yet. Although the likely candidate is Guy Guzzone, Council President, hasn’t committed to the race one way or the other. Rumor has it he is intimidated by Merdon’s strong start, frustration with County Executive Jim Robey’s (D) support of Board of Education Chair Courtney Watson’s political aspirations. Watson hasn’t said she would run for the Democratic nomination – but she hasn’t said she wouldn’t. It could be possible that Councilman Ken Ulman might seek the nomination. Another potential candidate maybe State Senator Ed Kasemeyer, although it is unlikely he would give up his comfortable seat in the General Assembly.

State Senate

Senator Allan Kittleman will run for re-election after serving the remainder of his father’s term.

County Executive Jim Robey conducted a poll (which he initially denied) to learn if he had a shot at Kittleman’s seat. He doesn’t and he didn’t need to waste money on a poll to find that out. Carroll County alone would trounce him. Rumor is that he and his wife may downsize their home and move to State Senator Sandy Schrader’s District and challenge her re-election bid. Robey certainly stands a better chance in that District, but given that Schader trounced C.Vernon Gray (Council member for life) there in 2002 it isn’t a sure bet for Robey.

House of Delegates

Candidates are forming up on both sides. With Neil Quinter (District 13) running for Ben Cardin’s seat in the US House of Representatives might give the Republicans a shot at these seats.

The Republicans might have a primary in District 9A

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